Match preview
Cheltenham vs Charlton prediction
Cheltenham
Charlton
Sat, Aug 8, 12:30 PM
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Charlton the more likely winner at 44%, against 27% for Cheltenham and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Cheltenham win
27%
Draw
29%
Charlton win
44%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.4
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Cheltenham clean sheet
24%
Charlton clean sheet
34%
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
I. Hutchinson
Cheltenham
26%
Shots
I. Hutchinson
Cheltenham
1.8
Cheltenham · on target
I. Hutchinson
Cheltenham
0.8
Charlton · on target
C. Kelman
Charlton
0.9
Cheltenham · Recent form
- L0-2Milton Keynes Dons
- W3-0Evesham United
- L1-4Colchester
- L0-4Bristol Rovers
- L1-3Tranmere
Charlton · Recent form
- L0-3Reading
- W2-0Colchester
- L0-2AFC Wimbledon
- W1-0Gillingham
- D1-1Maribor
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Cheltenham vs Charlton?
Golazo's model makes Charlton the more likely winner at 44%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Cheltenham vs Charlton?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Cheltenham vs Charlton?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
More EFL Cup matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.