Match preview
Burton Albion vs Blackburn prediction
Burton Albion
Blackburn
Sat, Aug 8, 10:00 AM
Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Burton Albion 33%, the draw 38%, Blackburn 30%. It projects 1.6 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%, and puts both teams scoring at 32%. Behind that: Burton Albion have scored in 1 of 2 league games this season, Blackburn in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Burton Albion win
33%
Draw
38%
Blackburn win
30%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.8 – 0.8
Total goals 1.6
Both teams score
32%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
Burton Albion clean sheet
46%
Blackburn clean sheet
43%
What stands out
Total goals 1.6
40% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Burton Albion 1.0 scored / 1.1 conceded · Blackburn 1.1 / 1.1 per game
match.offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Burton Albion 1.4 + Blackburn 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Shade
Burton Albion
24%
Shots
T. Shade
Burton Albion
1.9
Burton Albion · on target
T. Shade
Burton Albion
1.2
Blackburn · on target
Y. Ohashi
Blackburn
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Burton Albion
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Blackburn
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Burton Albion · Recent form
- W1-0Derby
- D1-1Solihull Moors
- L0-1Birmingham
- L0-3Leicester
- D0-0Alfreton Town
Blackburn · Recent form
- D1-1Huddersfield
- W2-0Strasbourg
- L0-3Nottingham Forest
- W3-0Barnsley
- D0-0Accrington ST
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Burton Albion 33%, the draw 38%, Blackburn 30%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 21%. The model projects 1.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 32%, and over 2.5 goals at 22%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.