Match preview
Botafogo SP vs Criciuma prediction
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
13 in the table · 30 pts from 22
Criciuma
1 in the table · 43 pts from 22
Wed, Aug 19, 08:30 PM
Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Botafogo SP 33%, the draw 35%, Criciuma 32%. It projects 1.9 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%, and puts both teams scoring at 38%. Behind that: Botafogo SP have scored in 14 of 22 league games this season, Criciuma in 18 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Botafogo SP win
33%
Draw
35%
Criciuma win
32%
What our model expects
Botafogo SPPer gameCriciumaNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 0.9
Total goals 1.9
Both teams score
38%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
Over 1.5 goals
57%
Botafogo SP clean sheet
39%
Criciuma clean sheet
39%
What stands out
Total goals 1.9
30% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Botafogo SP 1.1 scored / 1.1 conceded · Criciuma 1.1 / 0.8 per game
Fouls 28.2
34% above a typical match · League average 21
Botafogo SP 15.0 + Criciuma 13.2 per game
Corners 11.2
12% above a typical match · League average 10
Botafogo SP win 5.0 per game, Criciuma concede 4.1
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Hygor
Botafogo SP
21%
Shots
R. Otero
Criciuma
1.8
Botafogo SP · on target
Léo Gamalho
Botafogo SP
1
Criciuma · on target
Diego Gonçalves
Criciuma
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Botafogo SP
At home- 1.7
- pts/game
- 1.9
- scored
- 1.2
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 22
- Clean sheet in 10%
When their goals arrive
Criciuma
Away- 1.64
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0.91
- conceded
- Scored in 18 of 22
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
Botafogo SP · Recent form
- W1-0São Bernardo
- W2-1America Mineiro
- L0-1Fortaleza EC
- W4-2Juventude
- D0-0Londrina
Criciuma · Recent form
- W1-0Goias
- L0-2Athletic Club
- D0-0Nautico Recife
- W1-0Novorizontino
- W2-0Vila Nova
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Botafogo SP 33%, the draw 35%, Criciuma 32%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 17%. The model projects 1.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 38%, and over 2.5 goals at 29%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.