Match preview
Austin vs FC Dallas prediction
Austin
FC Dallas
Austin
14 in the table · 17 pts from 18
FC Dallas
6 in the table · 27 pts from 18
Sun, Aug 16, 08:30 PM
Q2 Stadium, Austin
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Dallas the more likely winner at 51%, against 25% for Austin and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 64%. Behind that: Austin have scored in 13 of 18 league games this season, FC Dallas in 13 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Austin win
25%
Draw
24%
FC Dallas win
51%
What our model expects
AustinPer gameFC DallasNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.9
Total goals 3.3
Both teams score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Austin clean sheet
15%
FC Dallas clean sheet
27%
What stands out
Total goals 3.3
21% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Austin 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded · FC Dallas 1.6 / 1.2 per game
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Austin 1.7 + FC Dallas 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Musa
FC Dallas
48%
Shots
P. Musa
FC Dallas
2.5
Austin · on target
M. Uzuni
Austin
0.9
FC Dallas · on target
P. Musa
FC Dallas
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Austin
At home- 1.75
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 0.88
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
FC Dallas
Away- 1.56
- pts/game
- 1.56
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Austin · Recent form
- W3-0Puebla
- W2-0Club Tijuana
- L0-1Colorado Rapids
- L0-3Houston Dynamo
- W3-1Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas · Recent form
- W1-0Guadalajara Chivas
- W2-0Club Queretaro
- D0-0Los Angeles Galaxy
- L0-1San Diego
- D2-2Portland Timbers
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Austin vs FC Dallas?
Golazo's model makes FC Dallas the more likely winner at 51%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Austin vs FC Dallas?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Austin vs FC Dallas?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 64%, and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
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- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.