Match preview
Akhmat vs FC Rostov prediction
Akhmat
FC Rostov
Akhmat
13 in the table · 2 pts from 4
FC Rostov
9 in the table · 5 pts from 4
Sat, Aug 22, 11:00 AM
Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Akhmat the more likely winner at 41%, against 25% for FC Rostov and 33% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 40%. Behind that: Akhmat have scored in 2 of 4 league games this season, FC Rostov in 3 of 4.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Akhmat win
41%
Draw
33%
FC Rostov win
25%
What our model expects
AkhmatPer gameFC RostovBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.8
Total goals 2
Both teams score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
Akhmat clean sheet
43%
FC Rostov clean sheet
32%
What stands out
Total goals 2
27% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Akhmat 1.2 scored / 1.0 conceded · FC Rostov 1.3 / 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Egas Cacintura
Akhmat
18%
Shots
I. Komarov
FC Rostov
1.8
Akhmat · on target
M. Samorodov
Akhmat
0.7
FC Rostov · on target
I. Komarov
FC Rostov
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Akhmat
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 4
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
FC Rostov
Away- 1.33
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 1.33
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 4
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Akhmat · Recent form
- L0-1FC Krasnodar
- D0-0Fakel
- D1-1FC Krasnodar
- L1-2Spartak Moscow
- D1-1Lokomotiv
FC Rostov · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Golazo's model makes Akhmat the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 33%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 40%, and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
More Russian Premier League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.