Match preview

FC Rostov vs Rubin prediction

FC Rostov
v
Rubin
363330
FC RostovDrawRubin
Goals expectedBoth teams score41%Over 2.5 goals32%Total goals2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

FC Rostov

10 in the table · 4 pts from 3

Rubin

8 in the table · 4 pts from 3

Sat, Aug 15, 11:30 AM

Rostov Arena, Rostov

The short answer

Golazo's model makes FC Rostov the more likely winner at 36%, against 30% for Rubin and 33% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 41%. Behind that: FC Rostov have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Rubin in 3 of 3.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

FC Rostov win

36%

Draw

33%

Rubin win

30%

Most likely scorelines0015%1115%1013%

What our model expects

FC RostovPer gameRubin
DWWLWLast 5DLWLW
0.0Scored2.0
0.0Conceded1.0
0.00Points per game3.00
14.9Shots11.2
5.2Corners4.0
1.1Expected goals0.9
52Possession48
2.3Cards2.3

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.1 0.9

Total goals 2

Both teams score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

Over 1.5 goals

61%

FC Rostov clean sheet

39%

Rubin clean sheet

35%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2

    26% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    FC Rostov 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded · Rubin 1.2 / 1.1 per game

  • Fouls 23.7

    13% above a typical match · League average 21

    FC Rostov 12.1 + Rubin 11.6 per game

Corners

League average 5

FC Rostov5.2
Rubin4

Cards

League average 2.25

FC Rostov2.3
Rubin2.3

Shots

League average 12.5

FC Rostov14.9
Rubin11.2

Possession

FC Rostov52
Rubin48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Daku

Rubin

21%

Shots

I. Komarov

FC Rostov

1.6

FC Rostov · on target

I. Komarov

FC Rostov

0.8

Rubin · on target

M. Daku

Rubin

0.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

FC Rostov

At home
  • Scored in 2 of 3

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Rubin

Away
3
pts/game
2
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 3 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

FC Rostov · Recent form

  • D0-0CSKA Moscow
  • W4-0Akron
  • W4-2Rodina Moskva
  • L1-2FC Orenburg
  • W2-1Fakel

Rubin · Recent form

  • D1-1FC Orenburg
  • L0-5Rodina Moskva
  • W2-1Akron
  • L1-3FC Krasnodar
  • W3-1Lokomotiv

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win FC Rostov vs Rubin?

Golazo's model makes FC Rostov the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 33%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in FC Rostov vs Rubin?

The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in FC Rostov vs Rubin?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 41%, and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.