Match preview
FC Rostov vs Rubin prediction
FC Rostov
RubinFC Rostov
10 in the table · 4 pts from 3
Rubin
8 in the table · 4 pts from 3
Sat, Aug 15, 11:30 AM
Rostov Arena, Rostov
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Rostov the more likely winner at 36%, against 30% for Rubin and 33% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 41%. Behind that: FC Rostov have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Rubin in 3 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FC Rostov win
36%
Draw
33%
Rubin win
30%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.9
Total goals 2
Both teams score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Over 1.5 goals
61%
FC Rostov clean sheet
39%
Rubin clean sheet
35%
What stands out
Total goals 2
26% below a typical match · League average 2.7
FC Rostov 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded · Rubin 1.2 / 1.1 per game
Fouls 23.7
13% above a typical match · League average 21
FC Rostov 12.1 + Rubin 11.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Daku
Rubin
21%
Shots
I. Komarov
FC Rostov
1.6
FC Rostov · on target
I. Komarov
FC Rostov
0.8
Rubin · on target
M. Daku
Rubin
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FC Rostov
At home- Scored in 2 of 3
When their goals arrive
Rubin
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
FC Rostov · Recent form
- D0-0CSKA Moscow
- W4-0Akron
- W4-2Rodina Moskva
- L1-2FC Orenburg
- W2-1Fakel
Rubin · Recent form
- D1-1FC Orenburg
- L0-5Rodina Moskva
- W2-1Akron
- L1-3FC Krasnodar
- W3-1Lokomotiv
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FC Rostov vs Rubin?
Golazo's model makes FC Rostov the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 33%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in FC Rostov vs Rubin?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FC Rostov vs Rubin?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 41%, and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
More Russian Premier League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.