Match preview
FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat prediction
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
1 in the table · 9 pts from 3
Akhmat
14 in the table · 1 pts from 2
Sat, Aug 15, 01:45 PM
Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Krasnodar the more likely winner at 53%, against 19% for Akhmat and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. Behind that: FC Krasnodar have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Akhmat in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FC Krasnodar win
53%
Draw
28%
Akhmat win
19%
What our model expects
FC KrasnodarPer gameAkhmatBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.8
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
FC Krasnodar clean sheet
43%
Akhmat clean sheet
22%
What stands out
Total goals 2.4
12% below a typical match · League average 2.7
FC Krasnodar 1.9 scored / 1.0 conceded · Akhmat 1.3 / 1.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Krivtsov
FC Krasnodar
23%
Shots
N. Krivtsov
FC Krasnodar
2
FC Krasnodar · on target
N. Krivtsov
FC Krasnodar
0.8
Akhmat · on target
M. Samorodov
Akhmat
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FC Krasnodar
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Akhmat
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
FC Krasnodar · Recent form
- W2-1Spartak Moscow
- D1-1Akhmat
- W3-2Fakel
- W3-1Rubin
- D1-1Baltika
Akhmat · Recent form
- D0-0Fakel
- D1-1FC Krasnodar
- L1-2Spartak Moscow
- D1-1Lokomotiv
- W1-0Ajman
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
Golazo's model makes FC Krasnodar the more likely winner at 53%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 13%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
More Russian Premier League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.