Match preview
West Ham vs Charlton prediction
West Ham
Charlton
West Ham
10 in the table · 1 pts from 1
Charlton
5 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Sat, Aug 22, 10:00 AM
London Stadium, London
The short answer
Golazo's model makes West Ham the more likely winner at 47%, against 24% for Charlton and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: West Ham have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Charlton in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
West Ham win
47%
Draw
29%
Charlton win
24%
What our model expects
West HamPer gameCharltonBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.9
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
West Ham clean sheet
39%
Charlton clean sheet
24%
What stands out
Total goals 2.4
13% below a typical match · League average 2.7
West Ham 1.5 scored / 1.3 conceded · Charlton 1.1 / 1.2 per game
Cards 3.8
15% below a typical match · League average 4.5
West Ham 2.3 + Charlton 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
V. Castellanos
West Ham
22%
Shots
M. Godden
Charlton
1.4
West Ham · on target
Pablo
West Ham
0.6
Charlton · on target
S. Carey
Charlton
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
West Ham
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Charlton
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
West Ham · Recent form
- D2-2Burnley
- W3-1Portsmouth
- D1-11. FC Magdeburg
- D0-0Rangers
- W5-0Stevenage
Charlton · Recent form
- W2-1Derby
- W3-1Cheltenham
- L0-3Reading
- W2-0Colchester
- L0-2AFC Wimbledon
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win West Ham vs Charlton?
Golazo's model makes West Ham the more likely winner at 47%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in West Ham vs Charlton?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in West Ham vs Charlton?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
More Championship matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.