Match preview
Lincoln vs Portsmouth prediction
Lincoln
Portsmouth
Lincoln
21 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Portsmouth
22 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Sat, Aug 22, 07:30 AM
LNER stadium, Lincoln
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Lincoln the more likely winner at 63%, against 15% for Portsmouth and 22% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Lincoln have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Portsmouth in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Lincoln win
63%
Draw
22%
Portsmouth win
15%
What our model expects
LincolnPer gamePortsmouthBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.1 – 1
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Lincoln clean sheet
38%
Portsmouth clean sheet
12%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
15% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Lincoln 1.6 scored / 1.3 conceded · Portsmouth 1.1 / 1.6 per game
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Lincoln 2.3 + Portsmouth 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
B. House
Lincoln
25%
Shots
A. Segecic
Portsmouth
1.6
Lincoln · on target
B. House
Lincoln
0.7
Portsmouth · on target
A. Segecic
Portsmouth
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Lincoln
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Portsmouth
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Lincoln · Recent form
- L1-2Middlesbrough
- W2-1Derby
- L0-3Barnsley
- W1-0Doncaster
- L1-5Grimsby
Portsmouth · Recent form
- L1-3QPR
- L1-3West Ham
- D0-0SV Darmstadt 98
- D1-1Farnborough
- L1-3Wycombe
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
Golazo's model makes Lincoln the more likely winner at 63%, with the draw at 22%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
More Championship matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.