Match preview
Millwall vs Norwich prediction
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
2 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Norwich
18 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Sat, Aug 22, 07:30 AM
The Den, London
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Millwall 31%, the draw 36%, Norwich 33%. It projects 1.8 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%, and puts both teams scoring at 36%. Behind that: Millwall have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Norwich in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Millwall win
31%
Draw
36%
Norwich win
33%
What our model expects
MillwallPer gameNorwichBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 0.9
Total goals 1.8
Both teams score
36%
Over 2.5 goals
26%
Over 1.5 goals
54%
Millwall clean sheet
41%
Norwich clean sheet
42%
What stands out
Total goals 1.8
34% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Millwall 1.1 scored / 0.9 conceded · Norwich 1.4 / 0.9 per game
Offsides 4.2
19% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Millwall 2.5 + Norwich 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Coburn
Millwall
20%
Shots
M. Touré
Norwich
1.4
Millwall · on target
J. Coburn
Millwall
0.7
Norwich · on target
M. Touré
Norwich
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Millwall
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Norwich
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Millwall · Recent form
- W2-0Bristol City
- D1-1QPR
- W1-0Antwerp
- D1-1Bromley
- L0-1Stevenage
Norwich · Recent form
- L1-2West Brom
- W4-1Milton Keynes Dons
- D0-0Cambridge United
- L1-2Osasuna
- W2-0Fulham
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Millwall vs Norwich?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Millwall 31%, the draw 36%, Norwich 33%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Millwall vs Norwich?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 18%. The model projects 1.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Millwall vs Norwich?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 36%, and over 2.5 goals at 26%.
More Championship matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.