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United Nordic vs Varbergs BoIS FC prediction

United Nordic
v
Varbergs BoIS FC
382636
United NordicDrawVarbergs BoIS FC
Goals expectedBoth teams score63%Over 2.5 goals59%Total goals3.1
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

United Nordic

6 in the table · 28 pts from 18

Varbergs BoIS FC

2 in the table · 33 pts from 18

Sat, Aug 15, 09:00 AM

Sodertalje Fotbollsarena

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: United Nordic 38%, the draw 26%, Varbergs BoIS FC 36%. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. Behind that: United Nordic have scored in 16 of 18 league games this season, Varbergs BoIS FC in 14 of 18.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

United Nordic win

38%

Draw

26%

Varbergs BoIS FC win

36%

Most likely scorelines1112%218%128%

What our model expects

United NordicPer gameVarbergs BoIS FC
DDDWDLast 5LWLWW
2.00Points per game1.75
1.6Expected goals1.5
1.6Conceded1.6
2.1Scored2.1
0.0Corners0.0
0.0Cards0.0
0.0Shots0.0
0Possession0

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.6 1.5

Total goals 3.1

Both teams score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

Over 1.5 goals

82%

United Nordic clean sheet

22%

Varbergs BoIS FC clean sheet

21%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.1

    14% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    United Nordic 1.7 scored / 1.4 conceded · Varbergs BoIS FC 1.4 / 1.4 per game

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

S. Nioule

Varbergs BoIS FC

28%

Shots

K. Jawla

United Nordic

1.6

United Nordic · on target

K. Jawla

United Nordic

1

Varbergs BoIS FC · on target

A. Winbo

Varbergs BoIS FC

0.5

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

United Nordic

At home
2
pts/game
2.11
scored
1.56
conceded
  • Scored in 16 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 22%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Varbergs BoIS FC

Away
1.75
pts/game
2.13
scored
1.63
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 13%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

United Nordic · Recent form

  • D1-1Falkenbergs FF
  • D2-2Ljungskile SK
  • D1-1Helsingborg
  • W2-0Orebro SK
  • D3-3Oddevold

Varbergs BoIS FC · Recent form

  • L0-1Sandviken
  • W2-1Falkenbergs FF
  • L0-3Osters IF
  • W4-2Oddevold
  • W4-2Norrby IF

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win United Nordic vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: United Nordic 38%, the draw 26%, Varbergs BoIS FC 36%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in United Nordic vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in United Nordic vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

More Superettan matches

All Superettan fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.