Match preview

IFK Norrkoping vs IK brage prediction

IFK Norrkoping

1 in the table · 35 pts from 17

IK brage

12 in the table · 20 pts from 17

Sat, Aug 8, 11:00 AM

Norrkopings Idrottspark

The short answer

Golazo's model makes IFK Norrkoping the more likely winner at 62%, against 15% for IK brage and 23% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%. Behind that: IFK Norrkoping have scored in 14 of 17 league games this season, IK brage in 13 of 17.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

IFK Norrkoping win

62%

Draw

23%

IK brage win

15%

Most likely scorelines2011%1111%1011%

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2 0.9

Total goals 2.8

Both teams score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Over 1.5 goals

78%

IFK Norrkoping clean sheet

42%

IK brage clean sheet

14%

Corners

League average 5

IFK Norrkoping4.8
IK brage4.3

Cards

League average 2.25

IFK Norrkoping2.3
IK brage2.4

Shots

League average 12.5

IFK Norrkoping13.5
IK brage9.7

Possession

IFK Norrkoping51
IK brage49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

T. Prica

IFK Norrkoping

32%

Shots

T. Prica

IFK Norrkoping

1.9

IFK Norrkoping · on target

C. Nyman

IFK Norrkoping

0.8

IK brage · on target

G. Granström

IK brage

0.5

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

IFK Norrkoping

At home
2
pts/game
2.13
scored
0.63
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 17
  • Clean sheet in 63%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

IK brage

Away
1.22
pts/game
1.33
scored
1.33
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 17
  • Clean sheet in 33%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

IFK Norrkoping · Recent form

  • W2-0Helsingborg
  • W1-0Landskrona BoIS
  • W3-0Sandviken
  • L0-1Norrby IF
  • W2-0Ostersunds FK

IK brage · Recent form

  • W2-1Landskrona BoIS
  • D0-0IFK Varnamo
  • L2-3Osters IF
  • L2-4Falkenbergs FF
  • W5-1IFK Varnamo

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs IK brage?

Golazo's model makes IFK Norrkoping the more likely winner at 62%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in IFK Norrkoping vs IK brage?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 11%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs IK brage?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

More Superettan matches

All Superettan fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.