Match preview
IK brage vs Orebro SK prediction
IK brage
Orebro SK
IK brage
12 in the table · 20 pts from 18
Orebro SK
14 in the table · 15 pts from 17
Fri, Aug 14, 01:00 PM
Domnarvsvallen, Borlange
The short answer
Golazo's model makes IK brage the more likely winner at 53%, against 21% for Orebro SK and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: IK brage have scored in 13 of 18 league games this season, Orebro SK in 11 of 17.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
IK brage win
53%
Draw
26%
Orebro SK win
21%
What our model expects
IK bragePer gameOrebro SKNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
IK brage clean sheet
35%
Orebro SK clean sheet
17%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
F. Hörberg
IK brage
23%
Shots
A. Mortensen
IK brage
1.4
IK brage · on target
G. Granström
IK brage
0.5
Orebro SK · on target
Ahmed Yasin Ghani Mousa
Orebro SK
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
IK brage
At home- 1.13
- pts/game
- 2.25
- scored
- 2.25
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Orebro SK
Away- 0.75
- pts/game
- 0.88
- scored
- 1.63
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 17
- Clean sheet in 38%
When their goals arrive
IK brage · Recent form
- L0-3IFK Norrkoping
- W2-1Landskrona BoIS
- D0-0IFK Varnamo
- L2-3Osters IF
- L2-4Falkenbergs FF
Orebro SK · Recent form
- L1-3IFK Varnamo
- D0-0Oddevold
- L0-2United Nordic
- W4-2Ostersunds FK
- L2-3Ljungskile SK
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win IK brage vs Orebro SK?
Golazo's model makes IK brage the more likely winner at 53%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in IK brage vs Orebro SK?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in IK brage vs Orebro SK?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
More Superettan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.