Match preview
Norrby IF vs Orebro SK prediction
Norrby IF
13 in the table · 19 pts from 17
Orebro SK
14 in the table · 15 pts from 17
Mon, Aug 10, 01:00 PM
Superettan
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Norrby IF the more likely winner at 52%, against 23% for Orebro SK and 25% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: Norrby IF have scored in 12 of 17 league games this season, Orebro SK in 11 of 17.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Norrby IF win
52%
Draw
25%
Orebro SK win
23%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.1
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Norrby IF clean sheet
33%
Orebro SK clean sheet
17%
What stands out
Cards 3.5
22% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Norrby IF 1.5 + Orebro SK 2.0 per game
Corners 8.7
13% below a typical match · League average 10
Norrby IF win 4.0 per game, Orebro SK concede 4.6
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Ahmed Yasin Ghani Mousa
Orebro SK
15%
Shots
J. Hjalmar
Norrby IF
1.3
Norrby IF · on target
A. Yusuf
Norrby IF
0.4
Orebro SK · on target
Ahmed Yasin Ghani Mousa
Orebro SK
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Norrby IF
At home- 1.25
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 17
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Orebro SK
Away- 0.75
- pts/game
- 0.88
- scored
- 1.63
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 17
- Clean sheet in 38%
When their goals arrive
Norrby IF · Recent form
- D0-0Oddevold
- D2-2Ostersunds FK
- W3-1GIF Sundsvall
- L2-4Varbergs BoIS FC
- W1-0IFK Norrkoping
Orebro SK · Recent form
- L1-3IFK Varnamo
- D0-0Oddevold
- L0-2United Nordic
- W4-2Ostersunds FK
- L2-3Ljungskile SK
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Norrby IF vs Orebro SK?
Golazo's model makes Norrby IF the more likely winner at 52%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Norrby IF vs Orebro SK?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Norrby IF vs Orebro SK?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
More Superettan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.