Match preview
Swansea vs Sheffield Utd prediction
Swansea
Sheffield UtdSwansea
8 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Sheffield Utd
16 in the table · 1 pts from 1
Sat, Aug 22, 10:00 AM
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sheffield Utd the more likely winner at 43%, against 28% for Swansea and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 53%. Behind that: Swansea have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Sheffield Utd in 0 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Swansea win
28%
Draw
28%
Sheffield Utd win
43%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.5
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Swansea clean sheet
23%
Sheffield Utd clean sheet
32%
What stands out
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Swansea 1.5 + Sheffield Utd 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Bamford
Sheffield Utd
18%
Shots
P. Bamford
Sheffield Utd
1.6
Swansea · on target
M. Stamenić
Swansea
0.4
Sheffield Utd · on target
P. Bamford
Sheffield Utd
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Swansea
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Sheffield Utd
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
Swansea · Recent form
- W2-1Stoke City
- L0-1Birmingham
- W1-0Leganes
- L0-3Merthyr Town
- W2-0Udinese
Sheffield Utd · Recent form
- D0-0Birmingham
- W3-0Mansfield Town
- D0-0VfL Bochum
- W2-0Rotherham
- W3-1Huddersfield
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?
Golazo's model makes Sheffield Utd the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
More Championship matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.