Match preview

Swansea vs Sheffield Utd prediction

Swansea
v
Sheffield Utd
282843
SwanseaDrawSheffield Utd
Goals expectedBoth teams score53%Over 2.5 goals48%Total goals2.6
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Swansea

8 in the table · 3 pts from 1

Sheffield Utd

16 in the table · 1 pts from 1

Sat, Aug 22, 10:00 AM

Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Sheffield Utd the more likely winner at 43%, against 28% for Swansea and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 53%. Behind that: Swansea have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Sheffield Utd in 0 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Swansea win

28%

Draw

28%

Sheffield Utd win

43%

Most likely scorelines1114%0110%129%

What our model expects

SwanseaPer gameSheffield Utd
WLWLWLast 5DWDWW
1.1Expected goals1.5
5.7Corners4.2
2.3Cards2.0
52Possession48
12.4Shots11.8
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.1 1.5

Total goals 2.6

Both teams score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

Swansea clean sheet

23%

Sheffield Utd clean sheet

32%

What stands out

  • Offsides 3

    14% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    Swansea 1.5 + Sheffield Utd 1.5 per game

Corners

League average 5

Swansea5.7
Sheffield Utd4.2

Cards

League average 2.25

Swansea2.3
Sheffield Utd2

Shots

League average 12.5

Swansea12.4
Sheffield Utd11.8

Possession

Swansea52
Sheffield Utd48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Bamford

Sheffield Utd

18%

Shots

P. Bamford

Sheffield Utd

1.6

Swansea · on target

M. Stamenić

Swansea

0.4

Sheffield Utd · on target

P. Bamford

Sheffield Utd

0.6

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Swansea

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Sheffield Utd

Away
  • Scored in 0 of 1

Swansea · Recent form

  • W2-1Stoke City
  • L0-1Birmingham
  • W1-0Leganes
  • L0-3Merthyr Town
  • W2-0Udinese

Sheffield Utd · Recent form

  • D0-0Birmingham
  • W3-0Mansfield Town
  • D0-0VfL Bochum
  • W2-0Rotherham
  • W3-1Huddersfield

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?

Golazo's model makes Sheffield Utd the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

More Championship matches

All Championship fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.