Match preview
ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone prediction
ST Mirren
1 in the table · 3 pts from 1
ST Johnstone
2 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Sat, Aug 8, 10:00 AM
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
The short answer
Golazo's model makes ST Mirren the more likely winner at 56%, against 23% for ST Johnstone and 21% for the draw. It projects 3.9 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 71%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
ST Mirren win
56%
Draw
21%
ST Johnstone win
23%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.4 – 1.5
Total goals 3.9
Both teams score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
ST Mirren clean sheet
23%
ST Johnstone clean sheet
9%
What stands out
Total goals 3.9
43% above a typical match · League average 2.7
ST Mirren 2.3 scored / 1.1 conceded · ST Johnstone 1.9 / 1.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
ST Mirren · Recent form
- W2-0Falkirk
- L0-1Dunfermline
- W4-3East Kilbride
- W4-0Cove Rangers
- W4-0Dumbarton
ST Johnstone · Recent form
- W4-3Kilmarnock
- D1-1East Fife
- L0-1Inverness CT
- W3-0Morton
- W2-0Linlithgow Rose
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
Golazo's model makes ST Mirren the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 21%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 71%, and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
More Scottish Premiership matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.