Match preview
Kilmarnock vs Celtic prediction
Kilmarnock
8 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Celtic
5 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Sun, Aug 9, 08:30 AM
Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Kilmarnock the more likely winner at 41%, against 35% for Celtic and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 69%. Behind that: Kilmarnock have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Celtic in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Kilmarnock win
41%
Draw
24%
Celtic win
35%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.7
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Kilmarnock clean sheet
19%
Celtic clean sheet
16%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
29% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Kilmarnock 1.8 scored / 1.3 conceded · Celtic 1.9 / 1.2 per game
Cards 3.7
18% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Kilmarnock 1.9 + Celtic 1.8 per game
match.offsides 2.9
18% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Kilmarnock 1.7 + Celtic 1.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Kilmarnock
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Celtic
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Kilmarnock · Recent form
- L3-4ST Johnstone
- D0-0Peterhead
- W1-0Hamilton Academical
- W1-0Elgin City
- D0-0Raith Rovers
Celtic · Recent form
- W1-0Dundee
- D2-2AC Milan
- D1-1Middlesbrough
- L1-4Sporting CP
- D1-1Shelbourne
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Golazo's model makes Kilmarnock the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 69%, and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
More Scottish Premiership matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.