Match preview
Celtic vs Dundee: projection vs result
Celtic
5 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Dundee
11 in the table · 0 pts from 1
1–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Dundee the more likely winner at 44%, against 32% for Celtic and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 68%. It finished Celtic 1–0 Dundee.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Celtic win
32%
Draw
24%
Dundee win
44%
What we said, and what happened
0 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.5Actual 1Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 68%Actual NoMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 67%Actual NoMissed
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.9
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Celtic clean sheet
15%
Dundee clean sheet
21%
What stands out
match.offsides 2.5
30% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Celtic 1.2 + Dundee 1.3 per game
Total goals 3.5
28% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Celtic 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded · Dundee 1.9 / 1.3 per game
Cards 3.5
21% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Celtic 1.8 + Dundee 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Celtic · Recent form
- W1-0Dundee
- D2-2AC Milan
- D1-1Middlesbrough
- L1-4Sporting CP
- D1-1Shelbourne
Dundee · Recent form
- L0-1Celtic
- W4-0Clyde
- D1-1Ross County
- L0-4Everton
- W5-0Annan Athletic
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Celtic vs Dundee?
Golazo's model makes Dundee the more likely winner at 44%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Celtic vs Dundee?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Dundee?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 68%, and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
More Scottish Premiership matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.