Match preview
Hibernian vs Motherwell: projection vs result
Hibernian
10 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Motherwell
3 in the table · 3 pts from 1
1–2
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Hibernian the more likely winner at 50%, against 27% for Motherwell and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 68%. It finished Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Hibernian win
50%
Draw
23%
Motherwell win
27%
What we said, and what happened
3 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.5Actual 3Called
- Both teams scoreProjected 68%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 68%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1.5
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Hibernian clean sheet
23%
Motherwell clean sheet
13%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
30% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Hibernian 1.7 scored / 1.3 conceded · Motherwell 1.6 / 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Hibernian · Recent form
- L1-2Motherwell
- W4-1Malisheva
- L0-2Malisheva
- W2-1Brondby
- W5-1Cliftonville FC
Motherwell · Recent form
- W2-1Hibernian
- W3-0HB Torshavn
- W2-0HB Torshavn
- L3-4Genk
- L0-4Aarhus
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Golazo's model makes Hibernian the more likely winner at 50%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 68%, and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.