Match preview
Sligo Rovers vs Waterford prediction
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
10 in the table · 22 pts from 27
Waterford
8 in the table · 28 pts from 27
Fri, Aug 21, 03:00 PM
Showgrounds, Sligo
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Waterford the more likely winner at 39%, against 34% for Sligo Rovers and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: Sligo Rovers have scored in 15 of 27 league games this season, Waterford in 18 of 27.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sligo Rovers win
34%
Draw
28%
Waterford win
39%
What our model expects
Sligo RoversPer gameWaterfordNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.4
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Sligo Rovers clean sheet
24%
Waterford clean sheet
26%
What stands out
Fouls 23.5
12% above a typical match · League average 21
Sligo Rovers 11.3 + Waterford 12.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Lonergan
Waterford
33%
Shots
T. Lonergan
Waterford
2.2
Sligo Rovers · on target
R. O'Kane
Sligo Rovers
0.6
Waterford · on target
T. Lonergan
Waterford
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sligo Rovers
At home- 1
- pts/game
- 1.08
- scored
- 1.69
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 27
- Clean sheet in 23%
When their goals arrive
Waterford
Away- 0.69
- pts/game
- 1.38
- scored
- 2.46
- conceded
- Scored in 18 of 27
- Clean sheet in 8%
When their goals arrive
Sligo Rovers · Recent form
- W4-0Kerry
- L0-2Derry City
- D1-1Dundalk
- D2-2Drogheda United
- W4-0Janesboro
Waterford · Recent form
- W2-1Athlone Town
- W3-1Bohemians
- W1-0Shelbourne
- D0-0Galway United
- W2-1Cobh Ramblers
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Waterford?
Golazo's model makes Waterford the more likely winner at 39%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sligo Rovers vs Waterford?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers vs Waterford?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
More League of Ireland matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.