Match preview
Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
9 in the table · 28 pts from 27
St Patrick's Athl.
2 in the table · 47 pts from 27
Fri, Aug 21, 02:45 PM
Weavers Park, Drogheda
The short answer
Golazo's model makes St Patrick's Athl. the more likely winner at 49%, against 22% for Drogheda United and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Drogheda United have scored in 20 of 27 league games this season, St Patrick's Athl. in 18 of 27.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Drogheda United win
22%
Draw
28%
St Patrick's Athl. win
49%
What our model expects
Drogheda UnitedPer gameSt Patrick's Athl.No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.5
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Drogheda United clean sheet
22%
St Patrick's Athl. clean sheet
39%
What stands out
Offsides 4.3
24% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Drogheda United 1.6 + St Patrick's Athl. 2.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Keena
St Patrick's Athl.
29%
Shots
M. Mata
St Patrick's Athl.
2.5
Drogheda United · on target
M. Doyle
Drogheda United
0.7
St Patrick's Athl. · on target
R. Edmondson
St Patrick's Athl.
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Drogheda United
At home- 1.15
- pts/game
- 1.08
- scored
- 1.23
- conceded
- Scored in 20 of 27
- Clean sheet in 46%
When their goals arrive
St Patrick's Athl.
Away- 1.31
- pts/game
- 1.08
- scored
- 1.15
- conceded
- Scored in 18 of 27
- Clean sheet in 23%
When their goals arrive
Drogheda United · Recent form
- W3-0College Corinthians
- D0-0Galway United
- D0-0Shamrock Rovers
- D2-2Sligo Rovers
- W4-0Lucan United
St Patrick's Athl. · Recent form
- W3-2Shamrock Rovers
- W2-1Shelbourne
- D1-1Derry City
- D1-1Dundalk
- W2-1Wexford
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Golazo's model makes St Patrick's Athl. the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
More League of Ireland matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.