Match preview
Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne prediction
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
1 in the table · 54 pts from 27
Shelbourne
5 in the table · 34 pts from 26
Fri, Aug 21, 03:00 PM
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Shamrock Rovers the more likely winner at 56%, against 18% for Shelbourne and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%. Behind that: Shamrock Rovers have scored in 23 of 27 league games this season, Shelbourne in 21 of 26.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Shamrock Rovers win
56%
Draw
26%
Shelbourne win
18%
What our model expects
Shamrock RoversPer gameShelbourneNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.9
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet
40%
Shelbourne clean sheet
17%
What stands out
Offsides 4.4
26% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Shamrock Rovers 2.2 + Shelbourne 2.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Martin
Shelbourne
19%
Shots
J. Martin
Shelbourne
2.1
Shamrock Rovers · on target
M. Asamoah
Shamrock Rovers
0.9
Shelbourne · on target
H. Wood
Shelbourne
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Shamrock Rovers
At home- 2.46
- pts/game
- 1.92
- scored
- 0.85
- conceded
- Scored in 23 of 27
- Clean sheet in 38%
When their goals arrive
Shelbourne
Away- 1.67
- pts/game
- 1.42
- scored
- 1.17
- conceded
- Scored in 21 of 26
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Shamrock Rovers · Recent form
- L2-3St Patrick's Athl.
- L1-5Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- W3-2Dundalk
- W3-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- D0-0Drogheda United
Shelbourne · Recent form
- D2-2Ajax
- L1-2St Patrick's Athl.
- L1-3Ajax
- L0-1Waterford
- L1-2Kalju Nomme
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
Golazo's model makes Shamrock Rovers the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
More League of Ireland matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.