Match preview
Dundalk vs Galway United prediction
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
4 in the table · 37 pts from 27
Galway United
7 in the table · 30 pts from 26
Fri, Aug 21, 02:45 PM
Oriel Park, Dundalk
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Dundalk the more likely winner at 49%, against 26% for Galway United and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%. Behind that: Dundalk have scored in 25 of 27 league games this season, Galway United in 18 of 26.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Dundalk win
49%
Draw
25%
Galway United win
26%
What our model expects
DundalkPer gameGalway UnitedNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.3
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Dundalk clean sheet
28%
Galway United clean sheet
16%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
15% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Dundalk 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded · Galway United 1.5 / 1.5 per game
Fouls 26.3
25% above a typical match · League average 21
Dundalk 13.6 + Galway United 12.6 per game
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Dundalk 1.3 + Galway United 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Twardek
Galway United
24%
Shots
D. Mullen
Dundalk
2.1
Dundalk · on target
G. Arubi
Dundalk
1.1
Galway United · on target
F. Lomboto
Galway United
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Dundalk
At home- 1.62
- pts/game
- 1.69
- scored
- 1.23
- conceded
- Scored in 25 of 27
- Clean sheet in 31%
When their goals arrive
Galway United
Away- 0.85
- pts/game
- 1.08
- scored
- 1.54
- conceded
- Scored in 18 of 26
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Dundalk · Recent form
- W8-0Castlebar Celtic
- L2-3Shamrock Rovers
- D1-1Sligo Rovers
- D1-1St Patrick's Athl.
- W3-1St Mochta's
Galway United · Recent form
- D1-1Bray Wanderers
- D0-0Drogheda United
- D1-1Bohemians
- D0-0Waterford
- W4-0Crumlin United
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Dundalk vs Galway United?
Golazo's model makes Dundalk the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Dundalk vs Galway United?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Dundalk vs Galway United?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
More League of Ireland matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.