Match preview
Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: projection vs result
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–1
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Shamrock Rovers the more likely winner at 55%, against 21% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. Behind that: Shamrock Rovers have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Egnatia Rrogozhinë in 1 of 1. It finished Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Shamrock Rovers win
55%
Draw
24%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win
21%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.1Actual 4Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 60%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 60%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1.2
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet
32%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet
14%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
15% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Shamrock Rovers 1.7 scored / 1.0 conceded · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.7 / 1.4 per game
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
30%
Shots
G. Burke
Shamrock Rovers
2
Shamrock Rovers · on target
J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
0.9
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · on target
A. Albanese
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Shamrock Rovers
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Shamrock Rovers · Recent form
- W3-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- D0-0Drogheda United
- W2-1Ararat-Armenia
- L0-2Ararat-Armenia
- W4-1Cork City
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · Recent form
- L1-3Shamrock Rovers
- D1-1Celje
- D3-3Celje
- W6-1Petrocub
- D1-1Petrocub
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Golazo's model makes Shamrock Rovers the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.