Match preview
Jagiellonia vs Rangers: projection vs result
Jagiellonia
Rangers
32 in the table · 4 pts from 8
2–1
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Jagiellonia the more likely winner at 48%, against 27% for Rangers and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. Behind that: Jagiellonia have scored in 1 of 2 league games this season, Rangers in 5 of 8. It finished Jagiellonia 2–1 Rangers.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Jagiellonia win
48%
Draw
25%
Rangers win
27%
What we said, and what happened
3 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.2Actual 3Called
- Both teams scoreProjected 63%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 62%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.3
Total goals 3.2
Both teams score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Jagiellonia clean sheet
26%
Rangers clean sheet
16%
What stands out
Total goals 3.2
18% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Jagiellonia 1.5 scored / 0.9 conceded · Rangers 2.2 / 1.5 per game
match.offsides 2.9
18% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Jagiellonia 1.5 + Rangers 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Szmyt
Jagiellonia
13%
Shots
N. Wojtuszek
Jagiellonia
1.1
Jagiellonia · on target
K. Szmyt
Jagiellonia
0.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Jagiellonia
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 4
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Rangers
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 0.75
- scored
- 2.5
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 8
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Jagiellonia · Recent form
- W2-1Rangers
- W2-1Motor Lublin
- W1-0Łomża
- W1-0Korona Kielce
- W2-1FC Nordsjaelland
Rangers · Recent form
- L1-2Jagiellonia
- D1-1Dundee Utd
- D0-0West Ham
- W2-1Saint Etienne
- W5-2Falkirk
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Rangers?
Golazo's model makes Jagiellonia the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Jagiellonia vs Rangers?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Jagiellonia vs Rangers?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.