Match preview
KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova: projection vs result
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
1–1
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes KuPS the more likely winner at 45%, against 25% for Universitatea Craiova and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. It finished KuPS 1–1 Universitatea Craiova.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
KuPS win
45%
Draw
30%
Universitatea Craiova win
25%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.3Actual 2Called
- Both teams scoreProjected 46%Actual YesMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 40%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.9
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
KuPS clean sheet
39%
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet
26%
What stands out
Corners 7.6
24% below a typical match · League average 10
KuPS win 3.5 per game, Universitatea Craiova concede 4.0
Cards 3.7
18% below a typical match · League average 4.5
KuPS 1.8 + Universitatea Craiova 1.9 per game
Total goals 2.3
16% below a typical match · League average 2.7
KuPS 1.6 scored / 0.9 conceded · Universitatea Craiova 1.6 / 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Moreno
KuPS
31%
Shots
J. Moreno
KuPS
2.3
KuPS · on target
J. Moreno
KuPS
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
KuPS
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 0.5
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 4
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
KuPS · Recent form
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova
- W1-0Gnistan
- L0-2Sabah FA
- W3-1VPS
- L0-1Sabah FA
Universitatea Craiova · Recent form
- D1-1KuPS
- W4-0Petrolul Ploiesti
- D2-2Levski Sofia
- L1-5Dinamo Bucuresti
- L0-1Levski Sofia
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
Golazo's model makes KuPS the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
More Europa League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.