Match preview
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia: projection vs result
Maccabi Tel Aviv
36 in the table · 1 pts from 8
CSKA Sofia
0–3
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the more likely winner at 46%, against 27% for CSKA Sofia and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: Maccabi Tel Aviv have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, CSKA Sofia in 3 of 4. It finished Maccabi Tel Aviv 0–3 CSKA Sofia.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Maccabi Tel Aviv win
46%
Draw
27%
CSKA Sofia win
27%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.9Actual 3Called
- Both teams scoreProjected 58%Actual NoMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 54%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.2
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet
30%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Fouls 24.4
16% above a typical match · League average 21
Maccabi Tel Aviv 12.6 + CSKA Sofia 11.8 per game
match.offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.6 + CSKA Sofia 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
33%
Shots
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
2.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv · on target
Dor Peretz
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
CSKA Sofia · on target
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
CSKA Sofia
Away- 2
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0.5
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 4
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Maccabi Tel Aviv · Recent form
- L0-3CSKA Sofia
- W1-0Sheriff Tiraspol
- W5-0Sheriff Tiraspol
- W3-1Hapoel Beer Sheva
- L0-1IMT Novi Beograd
CSKA Sofia · Recent form
- W3-0Maccabi Tel Aviv
- W2-1Dunav Ruse
- D0-0Qarabag
- W3-2Botev Plovdiv
- D0-0Qarabag
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia?
Golazo's model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.