Match preview
OFI vs CSKA Sofia prediction
OFI
CSKA Sofia
OFI
CSKA Sofia
Thu, Aug 20, 02:00 PM
Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
The short answer
Golazo's model makes CSKA Sofia the more likely winner at 50%, against 26% for OFI and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 66%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
OFI win
26%
Draw
24%
CSKA Sofia win
50%
What our model expects
OFIPer gameCSKA SofiaBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 2
Total goals 3.4
Both teams score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
OFI clean sheet
14%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet
25%
What stands out
Cards 6.8
52% above a typical match · League average 4.5
OFI 3.7 + CSKA Sofia 3.2 per game
Total goals 3.4
24% above a typical match · League average 2.7
OFI 1.5 scored / 1.8 conceded · CSKA Sofia 1.7 / 1.2 per game
Fouls 24.3
16% above a typical match · League average 21
OFI 12.3 + CSKA Sofia 12.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
42%
Shots
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
2.5
OFI · on target
T. Nuss
OFI
1
CSKA Sofia · on target
S. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
CSKA Sofia
Away- 2.33
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 0.33
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 6
- Clean sheet in 67%
When their goals arrive
OFI · Recent form
- D2-2AEK Athens FC
- L1-2Willem II
- L2-3NAC Breda
- L0-4GO Ahead Eagles
- W3-1Volos NFC
CSKA Sofia · Recent form
- W5-0Botev Vratsa
- L1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv
- W3-0Septemvri Sofia
- W3-0Maccabi Tel Aviv
- W2-1Dunav Ruse
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win OFI vs CSKA Sofia?
Golazo's model makes CSKA Sofia the more likely winner at 50%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in OFI vs CSKA Sofia?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in OFI vs CSKA Sofia?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 66%, and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
More Europa League matches
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