Match preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom prediction
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom
Thu, Aug 20, 01:00 PM
Demrozi Stadium
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the more likely winner at 55%, against 22% for Lillestrom and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win
55%
Draw
23%
Lillestrom win
22%
What our model expects
Egnatia RrogozhinëPer gameLillestromBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1.2
Total goals 3.2
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet
29%
Lillestrom clean sheet
13%
What stands out
Total goals 3.2
20% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.9 scored / 1.4 conceded · Lillestrom 1.3 / 1.3 per game
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Lehne Olsen
Lillestrom
23%
Shots
K. Arierhi
Lillestrom
1.8
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · on target
A. Albanese
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.6
Lillestrom · on target
T. Lehne Olsen
Lillestrom
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 5
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · Recent form
- W5-1Shamrock Rovers
- L1-3Shamrock Rovers
- D1-1Celje
- D3-3Celje
- W6-1Petrocub
Lillestrom · Recent form
- D1-1KFUM Oslo
- L0-2Rosenborg
- L0-4Bodo/Glimt
- L1-2Viking
- W2-1KFUM Oslo
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?
Golazo's model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
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