Match preview
Lech Poznan vs FC Thun prediction
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
Thu, Aug 20, 01:00 PM
Stadion Poznan
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Lech Poznan the more likely winner at 81%, against 8% for FC Thun and 11% for the draw. It projects 4.8 goals in total, with 3-1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%, and puts both teams scoring at 69%. Behind that: Lech Poznan have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, FC Thun in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Lech Poznan win
81%
Draw
11%
FC Thun win
8%
What our model expects
Lech PoznanPer gameFC ThunBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
3.6 – 1.2
Total goals 4.8
Both teams score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
86%
Over 1.5 goals
96%
Lech Poznan clean sheet
30%
FC Thun clean sheet
3%
What stands out
Total goals 4.8
78% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Lech Poznan 2.2 scored / 0.9 conceded · FC Thun 1.9 / 2.0 per game
Cards 3.8
15% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Lech Poznan 1.7 + FC Thun 2.1 per game
Offsides 3
15% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Lech Poznan 1.1 + FC Thun 1.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
B. Labeau
FC Thun
19%
Shots
Y. Agnero
Lech Poznan
1.7
Lech Poznan · on target
Y. Agnero
Lech Poznan
0.9
FC Thun · on target
B. Labeau
FC Thun
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Lech Poznan
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
FC Thun
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Lech Poznan · Recent form
- W5-0KI Klaksvik
- W3-0Piast Gliwice
- W1-0KI Klaksvik
- W2-1Wieczysta Kraków
- L0-3Aarhus
FC Thun · Recent form
- W6-0Saxon Sports
- L2-3Vikingur Reykjavik
- L2-4FC Basel 1893
- W3-0Vikingur Reykjavik
- L0-6BSC Young Boys
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Lech Poznan vs FC Thun?
Golazo's model makes Lech Poznan the more likely winner at 81%, with the draw at 11%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Lech Poznan vs FC Thun?
The single most likely scoreline is 3-1, at 8%. The model projects 4.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs FC Thun?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 69%, and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.