Match preview
Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction
Beşiktaş
Kauno ŽalgirisBeşiktaş
Kauno Žalgiris
Thu, Aug 20, 01:00 PM
Besiktas Park, Istanbul
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Beşiktaş the more likely winner at 36%, against 30% for Kauno Žalgiris and 34% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 40%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Beşiktaş win
36%
Draw
34%
Kauno Žalgiris win
30%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 0.9
Total goals 2
Both teams score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
31%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
Beşiktaş clean sheet
40%
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet
35%
What stands out
Total goals 2
27% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Beşiktaş 1.3 scored / 1.0 conceded · Kauno Žalgiris 1.4 / 1.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Abraham
Beşiktaş
30%
Shots
T. Abraham
Beşiktaş
1.8
Beşiktaş · on target
T. Abraham
Beşiktaş
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Beşiktaş
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 4
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Beşiktaş · Recent form
- W1-0Eyüpspor
- W1-0Hradec Králové
- W1-0Hradec Králové
- W2-0FC Midtjylland
- W1-0FC Midtjylland
Kauno Žalgiris · Recent form
- D1-1TransINVEST Vilnius
- L1-2Dinamo Zagreb
- W2-0Hegelmann Litauen
- L0-5Dinamo Zagreb
- W1-0KI Klaksvik
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Golazo's model makes Beşiktaş the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 40%, and over 2.5 goals at 31%.
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