Match preview

Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

Beşiktaş
v
Kauno Žalgiris
363430
BeşiktaşDrawKauno Žalgiris
Goals expectedBoth teams score40%Over 2.5 goals31%Total goals2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Beşiktaş

Kauno Žalgiris

Thu, Aug 20, 01:00 PM

Besiktas Park, Istanbul

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Beşiktaş the more likely winner at 36%, against 30% for Kauno Žalgiris and 34% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 40%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Beşiktaş win

36%

Draw

34%

Kauno Žalgiris win

30%

Most likely scorelines0015%1115%1013%

What our model expects

BeşiktaşPer gameKauno Žalgiris
WWWWWLast 5DLWLW
14.1Shots0.0
1.0Expected goals0.9
2.1Cards2.2
5.1Corners5.0
50Possession50

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1 0.9

Total goals 2

Both teams score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

Over 1.5 goals

60%

Beşiktaş clean sheet

40%

Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet

35%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2

    27% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Beşiktaş 1.3 scored / 1.0 conceded · Kauno Žalgiris 1.4 / 1.0 per game

Corners

League average 5

Beşiktaş5.1
Kauno Žalgiris5

Cards

League average 2.25

Beşiktaş2.1
Kauno Žalgiris2.2

Shots

League average 12.5

Beşiktaş14.1
Kauno Žalgiris

Possession

Beşiktaş50
Kauno Žalgiris50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

T. Abraham

Beşiktaş

30%

Shots

T. Abraham

Beşiktaş

1.8

Beşiktaş · on target

T. Abraham

Beşiktaş

1.1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Beşiktaş

At home
3
pts/game
1
scored
0
conceded
  • Scored in 4 of 4
  • Clean sheet in 100%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Beşiktaş · Recent form

  • W1-0Eyüpspor
  • W1-0Hradec Králové
  • W1-0Hradec Králové
  • W2-0FC Midtjylland
  • W1-0FC Midtjylland

Kauno Žalgiris · Recent form

  • D1-1TransINVEST Vilnius
  • L1-2Dinamo Zagreb
  • W2-0Hegelmann Litauen
  • L0-5Dinamo Zagreb
  • W1-0KI Klaksvik

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Golazo's model makes Beşiktaş the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 40%, and over 2.5 goals at 31%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.