Match preview

Newells Old Boys vs Banfield prediction

Newells Old Boys
v
Banfield
342936
Newells Old BoysDrawBanfield
Goals expectedBoth teams score52%Over 2.5 goals46%Total goals2.5
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Newells Old Boys

14 in the table · 15 pts from 16

Banfield

Sat, Aug 22, 08:00 PM

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Newells Old Boys 34%, the draw 29%, Banfield 36%. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 52%. Behind that: Newells Old Boys have scored in 14 of 21 league games this season, Banfield in 13 of 21.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Newells Old Boys win

34%

Draw

29%

Banfield win

36%

Most likely scorelines1114%009%019%

What our model expects

Newells Old BoysPer gameBanfield
WLDLWLast 5WLDWL
1.27Points per game0.73
1.0Scored0.7
2.4Cards1.9
5.3Corners4.5
1.1Conceded1.3
10.5Shots11.9
1.2Expected goals1.3
52Possession48

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.2 1.3

Total goals 2.5

Both teams score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Over 1.5 goals

73%

Newells Old Boys clean sheet

28%

Banfield clean sheet

29%

Corners

League average 5

Newells Old Boys5.3
Banfield4.5

Cards

League average 2.25

Newells Old Boys2.4
Banfield1.9

Shots

League average 12.5

Newells Old Boys10.5
Banfield11.9

Possession

Newells Old Boys52
Banfield48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Tiziano Perrota

Banfield

26%

Shots

D. Zalazar

Banfield

1.9

Newells Old Boys · on target

I. Ramírez

Newells Old Boys

0.9

Banfield · on target

N. Moreno

Banfield

0.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Newells Old Boys

At home
1.27
pts/game
1
scored
1.09
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 36%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Banfield

Away
0.73
pts/game
0.73
scored
1.27
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 18%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Newells Old Boys · Recent form

  • W2-0Deportivo Riestra
  • L1-2Defensa Y Justicia
  • D2-2Boca Juniors
  • L0-1Independiente
  • W1-0Talleres Cordoba

Banfield · Recent form

  • W1-0Racing Club
  • L0-2Belgrano Cordoba
  • D0-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
  • W3-2Sarmiento Junin
  • L0-1Huracan

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Newells Old Boys 34%, the draw 29%, Banfield 36%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 52%, and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

More Liga Profesional matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.