Match preview
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt prediction
NEC Nijmegen
Bodo/Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
Bodo/Glimt
23 in the table · 9 pts from 8
Wed, Aug 19, 03:00 PM
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The short answer
Golazo's model makes NEC Nijmegen the more likely winner at 43%, against 30% for Bodo/Glimt and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. Behind that: NEC Nijmegen have scored in 1 of 2 league games this season, Bodo/Glimt in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
NEC Nijmegen win
43%
Draw
27%
Bodo/Glimt win
30%
What our model expects
NEC NijmegenPer gameBodo/GlimtNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.3
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet
27%
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet
20%
What stands out
Cards 3.4
24% below a typical match · League average 4.5
NEC Nijmegen 2.0 + Bodo/Glimt 1.4 per game
Offsides 4.3
22% above a typical match · League average 3.5
NEC Nijmegen 2.7 + Bodo/Glimt 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
23%
Shots
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
2.7
NEC Nijmegen · on target
T. Chery
NEC Nijmegen
0.7
Bodo/Glimt · on target
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
1.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
NEC Nijmegen
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Bodo/Glimt
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
NEC Nijmegen · Recent form
- W2-1Olympiakos Piraeus
- L1-2Telstar
- D0-0Olympiakos Piraeus
- L1-2Sevilla
- L0-1SV Elversberg
Bodo/Glimt · Recent form
- W3-2Union St. Gilloise
- W2-1Valerenga
- D3-3Union St. Gilloise
- W4-0Lillestrom
- W3-0Sandefjord
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
Golazo's model makes NEC Nijmegen the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
More Champions League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.