Match preview

Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking prediction

Dinamo Zagreb
v
Viking
622217
Dinamo ZagrebDrawViking
Goals expectedBoth teams score59%Over 2.5 goals63%Total goals3.3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Dinamo Zagreb

Viking

Tue, Aug 18, 03:00 PM

Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Dinamo Zagreb the more likely winner at 62%, against 17% for Viking and 22% for the draw. It projects 3.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Dinamo Zagreb win

62%

Draw

22%

Viking win

17%

Most likely scorelines1110%2110%209%

What our model expects

Dinamo ZagrebPer gameViking
WWWWWLast 5LWWDW
2.2Expected goals1.1
20.3Shots13.0
2.2Cards2.8
6.7Corners5.3
53Possession47

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.2 1.1

Total goals 3.3

Both teams score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

Over 1.5 goals

85%

Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet

34%

Viking clean sheet

11%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.3

    21% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Dinamo Zagreb 2.5 scored / 0.8 conceded · Viking 2.1 / 1.1 per game

  • Corners 12

    20% above a typical match · League average 10

    Dinamo Zagreb win 7.0 per game, Viking concede 5.5

  • Fouls 24.1

    15% above a typical match · League average 21

    Dinamo Zagreb 12.0 + Viking 12.1 per game

Corners

League average 5

Dinamo Zagreb6.7
Viking5.3

Cards

League average 2.25

Dinamo Zagreb2.2
Viking2.8

Shots

League average 12.5

Dinamo Zagreb20.3
Viking13

Possession

Dinamo Zagreb53
Viking47

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Christiansen

Viking

17%

Shots

D. Beljo

Dinamo Zagreb

1.9

Dinamo Zagreb · on target

D. Beljo

Dinamo Zagreb

0.8

Viking · on target

P. Christiansen

Viking

1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Dinamo Zagreb

At home
3
pts/game
4
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 4 of 4
  • Clean sheet in 50%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Dinamo Zagreb · Recent form

  • W4-0Rudes
  • W2-1Kauno Žalgiris
  • W5-0Kauno Žalgiris
  • W2-0NK Slaven Belupo
  • W3-2FC Thun

Viking · Recent form

  • L1-2Rosenborg
  • W2-1Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • W3-0Start
  • D1-1Aalesund
  • W2-1Lillestrom

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking?

Golazo's model makes Dinamo Zagreb the more likely winner at 62%, with the draw at 22%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.