Match preview
Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC prediction
Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC
Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC
Tue, Aug 18, 03:00 PM
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Levski Sofia the more likely winner at 58%, against 15% for AEK Athens FC and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 42%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Levski Sofia win
58%
Draw
27%
AEK Athens FC win
15%
What our model expects
Levski SofiaPer gameAEK Athens FCBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.7
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Levski Sofia clean sheet
49%
AEK Athens FC clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Total goals 2.4
13% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Levski Sofia 2.0 scored / 0.6 conceded · AEK Athens FC 1.8 / 1.0 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
L. Jović
AEK Athens FC
20%
Shots
Zini
AEK Athens FC
2.3
Levski Sofia · on target
Reinaldo
Levski Sofia
0.4
AEK Athens FC · on target
L. Jović
AEK Athens FC
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Levski Sofia
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 6
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Levski Sofia · Recent form
- W1-0Kairat Almaty
- W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- W1-0Kairat Almaty
- W3-0Septemvri Sofia
- D2-2Universitatea Craiova
AEK Athens FC · Recent form
- D2-2OFI
- W4-0Kallithea
- W3-0St. Truiden
- L1-2Samsunspor
- W3-2PEC Zwolle
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Golazo's model makes Levski Sofia the more likely winner at 58%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 42%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.