Match preview
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA prediction
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Sabah FA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Sabah FA
Wed, Aug 19, 03:00 PM
Superbet Arena - Giulesti, Bucharest
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the more likely winner at 36%, against 32% for Sabah FA and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: Hapoel Beer Sheva have scored in 4 of 4 league games this season, Sabah FA in 6 of 6.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Hapoel Beer Sheva win
36%
Draw
31%
Sabah FA win
32%
What our model expects
Hapoel Beer ShevaPer gameSabah FANo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.1
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Hapoel Beer Sheva clean sheet
34%
Sabah FA clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
17% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded · Sabah FA 1.7 / 1.1 per game
Cards 3.9
13% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.2 + Sabah FA 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Biton
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25%
Shots
D. Biton
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva · on target
D. Biton
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.3
Sabah FA · on target
J. Mickels
Sabah FA
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 4
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Sabah FA
Away- 2
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 6
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Hapoel Beer Sheva · Recent form
- W2-0FK Crvena Zvezda
- W1-0FK Crvena Zvezda
- W2-0Vikingur Reykjavik
- L1-2Vikingur Reykjavik
- L1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sabah FA · Recent form
- W4-0Aarhus
- L1-2Aarhus
- W2-0KuPS
- W1-0KuPS
- W2-1The New Saints
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA?
Golazo's model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
More Champions League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.