Match preview
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Plzen
FK Crvena Zvezda
15 in the table · 14 pts from 8
Plzen
14 in the table · 14 pts from 8
Thu, Aug 20, 02:00 PM
Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the more likely winner at 50%, against 27% for Plzen and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 67%. Behind that: FK Crvena Zvezda have scored in 8 of 10 league games this season, Plzen in 7 of 10.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FK Crvena Zvezda win
50%
Draw
23%
Plzen win
27%
What our model expects
FK Crvena ZvezdaPer gamePlzenBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1.4
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet
23%
Plzen clean sheet
13%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
28% above a typical match · League average 2.7
FK Crvena Zvezda 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded · Plzen 1.9 / 1.3 per game
Offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
FK Crvena Zvezda 1.6 + Plzen 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
V. Kostov
FK Crvena Zvezda
34%
Shots
A. Katai
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.2
FK Crvena Zvezda · on target
A. Katai
FK Crvena Zvezda
1.1
Plzen · on target
C. Kabongo
Plzen
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FK Crvena Zvezda
At home- 1.6
- pts/game
- 0.8
- scored
- 0.8
- conceded
- Scored in 8 of 10
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
Plzen
Away- 1.8
- pts/game
- 1.2
- scored
- 0.8
- conceded
- Scored in 7 of 10
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
FK Crvena Zvezda · Recent form
- L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva
- W2-0Novi Pazar
- L0-1Hapoel Beer Sheva
- W5-0Larne
Plzen · Recent form
- W3-2Zlin
- D5-5Teplice
- D1-1Zbrojovka Brno
- L1-3Slovan Liberec
- W2-0Polessya
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?
Golazo's model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the more likely winner at 50%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 67%, and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.