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Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF prediction

Falkenbergs FF
v
Norrby IF
492625
Falkenbergs FFDrawNorrby IF
Goals expectedBoth teams score59%Over 2.5 goals56%Total goals2.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Falkenbergs FF

3 in the table · 32 pts from 18

Norrby IF

13 in the table · 19 pts from 17

Sat, Aug 15, 11:00 AM

Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Falkenbergs FF the more likely winner at 49%, against 25% for Norrby IF and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%. Behind that: Falkenbergs FF have scored in 17 of 18 league games this season, Norrby IF in 13 of 18.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Falkenbergs FF win

49%

Draw

26%

Norrby IF win

25%

Most likely scorelines1112%2110%108%

What our model expects

Falkenbergs FFPer gameNorrby IF
DLWLWLast 5WDDWL
1.67Points per game1.00
1.7Expected goals1.2
1.3Scored1.0
12.4Shots9.4
1.8Cards1.5
4.6Corners4.0
51Possession49
1.2Conceded1.2

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.7 1.2

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Over 1.5 goals

80%

Falkenbergs FF clean sheet

30%

Norrby IF clean sheet

17%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.3

    27% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Falkenbergs FF 1.8 + Norrby IF 1.5 per game

  • Corners 8.7

    13% below a typical match · League average 10

    Falkenbergs FF win 4.8 per game, Norrby IF concede 3.8

Corners

League average 5

Falkenbergs FF4.6
Norrby IF4

Cards

League average 2.25

Falkenbergs FF1.8
Norrby IF1.5

Shots

League average 12.5

Falkenbergs FF12.4
Norrby IF9.4

Possession

Falkenbergs FF51
Norrby IF49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

J. Johansson

Norrby IF

15%

Shots

J. Hjalmar

Norrby IF

1.3

Falkenbergs FF · on target

O. Lindberg

Falkenbergs FF

0.5

Norrby IF · on target

A. Yusuf

Norrby IF

0.4

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Falkenbergs FF

At home
1.67
pts/game
1.33
scored
1.22
conceded
  • Scored in 17 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 22%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Norrby IF

Away
1
pts/game
1
scored
1.22
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 22%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Falkenbergs FF · Recent form

  • D1-1United Nordic
  • L1-2Varbergs BoIS FC
  • W2-1GIF Sundsvall
  • L2-3Helsingborg
  • W6-0Laholm

Norrby IF · Recent form

  • W3-1Orebro SK
  • D0-0Oddevold
  • D2-2Ostersunds FK
  • W3-1GIF Sundsvall
  • L2-4Varbergs BoIS FC

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?

Golazo's model makes Falkenbergs FF the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

More Superettan matches

All Superettan fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.