Match preview
Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF prediction
Falkenbergs FF
Norrby IFFalkenbergs FF
3 in the table · 32 pts from 18
Norrby IF
13 in the table · 19 pts from 17
Sat, Aug 15, 11:00 AM
Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Falkenbergs FF the more likely winner at 49%, against 25% for Norrby IF and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%. Behind that: Falkenbergs FF have scored in 17 of 18 league games this season, Norrby IF in 13 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Falkenbergs FF win
49%
Draw
26%
Norrby IF win
25%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.2
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Falkenbergs FF clean sheet
30%
Norrby IF clean sheet
17%
What stands out
Cards 3.3
27% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Falkenbergs FF 1.8 + Norrby IF 1.5 per game
Corners 8.7
13% below a typical match · League average 10
Falkenbergs FF win 4.8 per game, Norrby IF concede 3.8
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Johansson
Norrby IF
15%
Shots
J. Hjalmar
Norrby IF
1.3
Falkenbergs FF · on target
O. Lindberg
Falkenbergs FF
0.5
Norrby IF · on target
A. Yusuf
Norrby IF
0.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Falkenbergs FF
At home- 1.67
- pts/game
- 1.33
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Norrby IF
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Falkenbergs FF · Recent form
- D1-1United Nordic
- L1-2Varbergs BoIS FC
- W2-1GIF Sundsvall
- L2-3Helsingborg
- W6-0Laholm
Norrby IF · Recent form
- W3-1Orebro SK
- D0-0Oddevold
- D2-2Ostersunds FK
- W3-1GIF Sundsvall
- L2-4Varbergs BoIS FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
Golazo's model makes Falkenbergs FF the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
More Superettan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.