Match preview
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Sat, Aug 22, 06:00 AM
Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Cerezo Osaka the more likely winner at 52%, against 20% for Shimizu S-pulse and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. Behind that: Cerezo Osaka have scored in 17 of 20 league games this season, Shimizu S-pulse in 14 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Cerezo Osaka win
52%
Draw
28%
Shimizu S-pulse win
20%
What our model expects
Cerezo OsakaPer gameShimizu S-pulseNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.9
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet
43%
Shimizu S-pulse clean sheet
22%
What stands out
Total goals 2.4
12% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Cerezo Osaka 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded · Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 / 1.2 per game
Cards 3.8
17% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Cerezo Osaka 1.6 + Shimizu S-pulse 2.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Sakuragawa
Cerezo Osaka
30%
Shots
Oh Se-Hun
Shimizu S-pulse
1.9
Cerezo Osaka · on target
S. Sakuragawa
Cerezo Osaka
1
Shimizu S-pulse · on target
K. Kitagawa
Shimizu S-pulse
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Cerezo Osaka
At home- 1.9
- pts/game
- 2.1
- scored
- 1.2
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Shimizu S-pulse
Away- 0.9
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.6
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 20
- Clean sheet in 10%
When their goals arrive
Cerezo Osaka · Recent form
- L0-3Avispa Fukuoka
- W2-1Fagiano Okayama
- W1-0Borussia Dortmund
- W1-0Tochigi City
- W3-1FC Tokyo
Shimizu S-pulse · Recent form
- L0-1Yokohama F. Marinos
- W1-0Nagoya Grampus
- W3-1Karlsruher SC
- W3-1Polessya
- L0-3Yokohama F. Marinos
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Golazo's model makes Cerezo Osaka the more likely winner at 52%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
More J1 League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.