Match preview
Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
17 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Benfica
14 in the table · 1 pts from 1
Mon, Aug 17, 03:15 PM
Rio Maior
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Benfica the more likely winner at 67%, against 12% for Casa Pia and 21% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Casa Pia have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, Benfica in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Casa Pia win
12%
Draw
21%
Benfica win
67%
What our model expects
Casa PiaPer gameBenficaBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.8 – 2.1
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Casa Pia clean sheet
12%
Benfica clean sheet
45%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Casa Pia
At home- Scored in 0 of 1
When their goals arrive
Benfica
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Casa Pia · Recent form
- L0-1Maritimo
- L2-6Leixoes
- L0-1Benfica B
- W2-1Estrela
- W2-0Torreense
Benfica · Recent form
- D2-2Academico Viseu
- W6-1Heart Of Midlothian
- W5-0FC ST. Gallen
- W5-1CF Os Belenenses
- L1-2FC ST. Gallen
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Casa Pia vs Benfica?
Golazo's model makes Benfica the more likely winner at 67%, with the draw at 21%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Casa Pia vs Benfica?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-2, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs Benfica?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
More Primeira Liga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.