Match preview
Rio Ave vs FC Porto prediction
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Rio Ave
16 in the table · 0 pts from 1
FC Porto
1 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Sat, Aug 15, 03:30 PM
Vila do Conde
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Porto the more likely winner at 43%, against 26% for Rio Ave and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 43%. Behind that: Rio Ave have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, FC Porto in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Rio Ave win
26%
Draw
32%
FC Porto win
43%
What our model expects
Rio AvePer gameFC PortoBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.2
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Rio Ave clean sheet
29%
FC Porto clean sheet
41%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
21% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Rio Ave 1.2 scored / 1.3 conceded · FC Porto 1.4 / 0.9 per game
Offsides 2.8
19% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Rio Ave 1.2 + FC Porto 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Rio Ave
At home- Scored in 0 of 1
When their goals arrive
FC Porto
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Rio Ave · Recent form
- L0-1GIL Vicente
- W3-1Tondela
- D2-2Al-Ahli Jeddah
- W3-0Portimonense
- W2-1Arouca
FC Porto · Recent form
- W2-0Alverca
- W1-0Torreense
- W2-1Aston Villa
- L0-1GIL Vicente
- W1-0Santa Clara
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Rio Ave vs FC Porto?
Golazo's model makes FC Porto the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 43%, and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
More Primeira Liga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.