Match preview
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC prediction
Sporting CP
Vitória SCPriced correctly everywhere
Prices as of 11:01 AM
Sporting CP
5 in the table · 1 pts from 1
Vitória SC
15 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Fri, Aug 14, 03:15 PM
Lisbon
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sporting CP the more likely winner at 75%, against 9% for Vitória SC and 16% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Sporting CP have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Vitória SC in 0 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sporting CP win
75%
Draw
16%
Vitória SC win
9%
What our model expects
Sporting CPPer gameVitória SCAnchored to the de-vigged consensus of 46 bookmakers, then expanded into the full picture they don't publish: every scoreline, both teams to score, clean sheets. We tested our own goal model against the market over 1,420 matches and the market won, so this starts from the sharper number. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.6 – 0.9
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Sporting CP clean sheet
42%
Vitória SC clean sheet
7%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
30% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Sporting CP 2.3 scored / 1.1 conceded · Vitória SC 1.5 / 1.2 per game
Offsides 3.9
12% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Sporting CP 2.3 + Vitória SC 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sporting CP
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Vitória SC
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
When their goals arrive
Sporting CP · Recent form
- D2-2Estrela
- W4-1Nottingham Forest
- W2-0Monaco
- W7-0Strasbourg
- W4-1Celtic
Vitória SC · Recent form
- L0-1Arouca
- W2-0Chaves
- D1-1Nottingham Forest
- W3-1Al-Ahli Jeddah
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
Golazo's model makes Sporting CP the more likely winner at 75%, with the draw at 16%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 11%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
More Primeira Liga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.