Match preview
Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction
Benfica
Heart Of Midlothian
Thu, Aug 6, 03:00 PM
Lisbon
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Benfica the more likely winner at 77%, against 8% for Heart Of Midlothian and 15% for the draw. It projects 3.7 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Benfica win
77%
Draw
15%
Heart Of Midlothian win
8%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.8 – 0.9
Total goals 3.7
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Benfica clean sheet
42%
Heart Of Midlothian clean sheet
6%
What stands out
Total goals 3.7
37% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Benfica 2.2 scored / 1.1 conceded · Heart Of Midlothian 1.1 / 1.5 per game
Cards 3.7
17% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Benfica 1.7 + Heart Of Midlothian 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
41%
Shots
D. Lukebakio
Benfica
2.2
Benfica · on target
F. Ivanović
Benfica
1.2
Heart Of Midlothian · on target
C. Miller
Heart Of Midlothian
0.6
Benfica · Recent form
- W5-0FC ST. Gallen
- W5-1CF Os Belenenses
- L1-2FC ST. Gallen
- W2-0Villarreal
- L1-2Flamengo
Heart Of Midlothian · Recent form
- L1-2Aberdeen
- L0-2Sturm Graz
- W1-0Raith Rovers
- L0-4Sturm Graz
- W2-1Rayo Vallecano
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Golazo's model makes Benfica the more likely winner at 77%, with the draw at 15%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 10%. The model projects 3.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.