Match preview

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba prediction

Atletico Tucuman
v
Instituto Cordoba
353332
Atletico TucumanDrawInstituto Cordoba
Goals expectedBoth teams score42%Over 2.5 goals33%Total goals2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Atletico Tucuman

Instituto Cordoba

9 in the table · 21 pts from 16

Sat, Aug 22, 03:00 PM

Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Atletico Tucuman 35%, the draw 33%, Instituto Cordoba 32%. It projects 2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 42%. Behind that: Atletico Tucuman have scored in 15 of 21 league games this season, Instituto Cordoba in 15 of 21.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Atletico Tucuman win

35%

Draw

33%

Instituto Cordoba win

32%

Most likely scorelines1115%0014%1012%

What our model expects

Atletico TucumanPer gameInstituto Cordoba
WWLDWLast 5WWWWL
0.9Scored0.7
12.0Shots14.0
0.8Conceded0.9
5.4Corners4.8
2.2Cards2.4
1.20Points per game1.27
1.0Expected goals1.0
50Possession50

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1 1

Total goals 2

Both teams score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Over 1.5 goals

62%

Atletico Tucuman clean sheet

37%

Instituto Cordoba clean sheet

35%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2

    25% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Atletico Tucuman 1.3 scored / 1.0 conceded · Instituto Cordoba 1.2 / 0.9 per game

  • Fouls 24.3

    16% above a typical match · League average 21

    Atletico Tucuman 11.9 + Instituto Cordoba 12.4 per game

  • Offsides 4.1

    17% above a typical match · League average 3.5

    Atletico Tucuman 2.2 + Instituto Cordoba 1.9 per game

Corners

League average 5

Atletico Tucuman5.4
Instituto Cordoba4.8

Cards

League average 2.25

Atletico Tucuman2.2
Instituto Cordoba2.4

Shots

League average 12.5

Atletico Tucuman12
Instituto Cordoba14

Possession

Atletico Tucuman50
Instituto Cordoba50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

L. Díaz

Atletico Tucuman

24%

Shots

A. Luna

Instituto Cordoba

2.3

Atletico Tucuman · on target

L. Díaz

Atletico Tucuman

1

Instituto Cordoba · on target

A. Luna

Instituto Cordoba

1.1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Atletico Tucuman

At home
1.2
pts/game
0.9
scored
0.8
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 50%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Instituto Cordoba

Away
1.27
pts/game
0.73
scored
0.91
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 36%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Atletico Tucuman · Recent form

  • W1-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
  • W4-0Independiente
  • L1-2Sarmiento Junin
  • D0-0Huracan
  • W2-0Central Cordoba de Santiago

Instituto Cordoba · Recent form

  • W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago
  • W1-0Gimnasia M.
  • W1-0Lanus
  • W2-1Platense
  • L0-1Velez Sarsfield

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Atletico Tucuman 35%, the draw 33%, Instituto Cordoba 32%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 42%, and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

More Liga Profesional matches

All Liga Profesional fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.