Match preview
Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino prediction
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
3 in the table · 40 pts from 22
RB Bragantino
8 in the table · 31 pts from 21
Sat, Aug 15, 05:30 PM
Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Atletico Paranaense the more likely winner at 45%, against 24% for RB Bragantino and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%. Behind that: Atletico Paranaense have scored in 16 of 22 league games this season, RB Bragantino in 15 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Atletico Paranaense win
45%
Draw
31%
RB Bragantino win
24%
What our model expects
Atletico ParanaensePer gameRB BragantinoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.9
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet
41%
RB Bragantino clean sheet
28%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
20% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Atletico Paranaense 1.0 scored / 1.0 conceded · RB Bragantino 1.5 / 0.9 per game
Cards 5.3
19% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Atletico Paranaense 2.3 + RB Bragantino 3.0 per game
Fouls 25.3
21% above a typical match · League average 21
Atletico Paranaense 13.0 + RB Bragantino 12.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Viveros
Atletico Paranaense
37%
Shots
Davi Gomes
RB Bragantino
2.6
Atletico Paranaense · on target
K. Viveros
Atletico Paranaense
1.2
RB Bragantino · on target
Davi Gomes
RB Bragantino
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Atletico Paranaense
At home- 2.36
- pts/game
- 1.73
- scored
- 0.55
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 22
- Clean sheet in 45%
When their goals arrive
RB Bragantino
Away- 1.4
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.1
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 21
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
Atletico Paranaense · Recent form
- W2-0Santos
- L0-4Vitoria
- W2-0Vitoria
- D0-0Corinthians
- W2-0Internacional
RB Bragantino · Recent form
- L0-2Corinthians
- W1-0Sporting Cristal
- D0-0Coritiba
- D0-0Sporting Cristal
- D1-1Fluminense
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?
Golazo's model makes Atletico Paranaense the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.