Match preview
Universidad de Chile vs Palestino prediction
Universidad de Chile
2 in the table · 30 pts from 17
Palestino
4 in the table · 27 pts from 17
Sun, Aug 9, 08:00 PM
Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Universidad de Chile the more likely winner at 57%, against 18% for Palestino and 25% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%. Behind that: Universidad de Chile have scored in 12 of 17 league games this season, Palestino in 12 of 17.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Universidad de Chile win
57%
Draw
25%
Palestino win
18%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.9
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Universidad de Chile clean sheet
40%
Palestino clean sheet
16%
What stands out
match.offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Universidad de Chile 1.7 + Palestino 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Da Silva
Palestino
20%
Shots
N. Da Silva
Palestino
2.4
Universidad de Chile · on target
J. Lucero
Universidad de Chile
0.9
Palestino · on target
N. Da Silva
Palestino
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Universidad de Chile
At home- 2.25
- pts/game
- 1.75
- scored
- 0.5
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 17
- Clean sheet in 63%
When their goals arrive
Palestino
Away- 1.13
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 17
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Universidad de Chile · Recent form
- W1-0Union San Felipe
- W2-0Huachipato
- W2-1A. Italiano
- W3-2Santiago Wanderers
- L0-1Union La Calera
Palestino · Recent form
- W2-1Coquimbo Unido
- L0-2Nublense
- W3-2Deportes Santa Cruz
- W2-1Magallanes
- L2-3A. Italiano
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
Golazo's model makes Universidad de Chile the more likely winner at 57%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.