Match preview
Union La Calera vs Colo Colo prediction
Union La Calera
16 in the table · 13 pts from 17
Colo Colo
1 in the table · 42 pts from 17
Sun, Aug 9, 05:30 PM
Municipal Nicolas Chahuan, La Calera
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Colo Colo the more likely winner at 56%, against 19% for Union La Calera and 25% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Union La Calera have scored in 11 of 17 league games this season, Colo Colo in 15 of 17.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Union La Calera win
19%
Draw
25%
Colo Colo win
56%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.9
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Union La Calera clean sheet
15%
Colo Colo clean sheet
36%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Correa
Colo Colo
42%
Shots
J. Correa
Colo Colo
2.7
Union La Calera · on target
F. Pozzo
Union La Calera
0.8
Colo Colo · on target
J. Correa
Colo Colo
1.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Union La Calera
At home- 1.33
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 1.33
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 17
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Colo Colo
Away- 2.63
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1.25
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 17
- Clean sheet in 38%
When their goals arrive
Union La Calera · Recent form
- W4-0Santiago Wanderers
- L0-4Cobresal
- D1-1Everton de Vina
- W1-0Coquimbo Unido
- L0-1Coquimbo Unido
Colo Colo · Recent form
- W4-3Everton de Vina
- W3-1Deportes Limache
- W1-0Millonarios
- D2-2Recoleta
- L1-4O'Higgins
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Union La Calera vs Colo Colo?
Golazo's model makes Colo Colo the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Union La Calera vs Colo Colo?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Union La Calera vs Colo Colo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.