Match preview

O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache prediction

O'Higgins

9 in the table · 23 pts from 17

Deportes Limache

10 in the table · 21 pts from 16

Sun, Aug 9, 03:00 PM

Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua

The short answer

Golazo's model makes O'Higgins the more likely winner at 45%, against 26% for Deportes Limache and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

O'Higgins win

45%

Draw

29%

Deportes Limache win

26%

Most likely scorelines1114%1011%009%

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.5 1

Total goals 2.5

Both teams score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Over 1.5 goals

73%

O'Higgins clean sheet

35%

Deportes Limache clean sheet

23%

What stands out

  • match.offsides 3

    15% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    O'Higgins 1.4 + Deportes Limache 1.6 per game

Corners

League average 5

O'Higgins5.3
Deportes Limache5.2

Cards

League average 2.25

O'Higgins2.3
Deportes Limache2.4

Shots

League average 12.5

O'Higgins12.6
Deportes Limache12.2

Possession

O'Higgins52
Deportes Limache48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

D. Castro

Deportes Limache

25%

Shots

D. Castro

Deportes Limache

2.7

O'Higgins · on target

T. Vecino

O'Higgins

1.1

Deportes Limache · on target

D. Castro

Deportes Limache

1.2

O'Higgins · Recent form

  • W2-1D. La Serena
  • W1-0Boca Juniors
  • L0-2Concepción
  • L0-1Boca Juniors
  • W1-0Nublense

Deportes Limache · Recent form

  • L1-3Colo Colo
  • W4-1San Marcos de Arica
  • D1-1Coquimbo Unido
  • L1-4Deportes Iquique
  • D1-1Coquimbo Unido

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache?

Golazo's model makes O'Higgins the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

More Primera División (Chile) matches

All Primera División (Chile) fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.