Match preview
U. Catolica vs Cobresal prediction
U. Catolica
3 in the table · 27 pts from 17
Cobresal
15 in the table · 17 pts from 17
Fri, Aug 7, 08:30 PM
Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: U. Catolica 36%, the draw 23%, Cobresal 40%. It projects 3.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 71%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
U. Catolica win
36%
Draw
23%
Cobresal win
40%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.9
Total goals 3.7
Both teams score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
U. Catolica clean sheet
15%
Cobresal clean sheet
17%
What stands out
Total goals 3.7
36% above a typical match · League average 2.7
U. Catolica 1.6 scored / 1.9 conceded · Cobresal 1.4 / 1.3 per game
match.offsides 4.3
22% above a typical match · League average 3.5
U. Catolica 2.7 + Cobresal 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
44%
Shots
J. Giani
U. Catolica
2.5
U. Catolica · on target
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
1.2
Cobresal · on target
S. Pino
Cobresal
0.9
U. Catolica · Recent form
- L0-3Concepción
- D3-3D. La Serena
- L0-4San Luis
- W2-1Deportes Copiapo
- W2-1Everton de Vina
Cobresal · Recent form
- W4-0Union La Calera
- D3-3Huachipato
- L0-1Antofagasta
- D2-2Cobreloa
- L0-1D. La Serena
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win U. Catolica vs Cobresal?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: U. Catolica 36%, the draw 23%, Cobresal 40%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in U. Catolica vs Cobresal?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in U. Catolica vs Cobresal?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 71%, and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
More Primera División (Chile) matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.