Match preview
United Nordic vs Ljungskile SK: projection vs result
United Nordic
5 in the table · 27 pts from 17
Ljungskile SK
9 in the table · 23 pts from 17
2–2
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes United Nordic the more likely winner at 42%, against 31% for Ljungskile SK and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: United Nordic have scored in 15 of 17 league games this season, Ljungskile SK in 12 of 17. It finished United Nordic 2–2 Ljungskile SK.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
United Nordic win
42%
Draw
27%
Ljungskile SK win
31%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.9Actual 4Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 58%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 54%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.3
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
United Nordic clean sheet
27%
Ljungskile SK clean sheet
21%
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Jawla
United Nordic
23%
Shots
I. Shears
Ljungskile SK
1.8
United Nordic · on target
K. Jawla
United Nordic
1
Ljungskile SK · on target
I. Shears
Ljungskile SK
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
United Nordic
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 2.11
- scored
- 1.56
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 17
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Ljungskile SK
Away- 1.11
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 1.33
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 17
- Clean sheet in 11%
When their goals arrive
United Nordic · Recent form
- D2-2Ljungskile SK
- D1-1Helsingborg
- W2-0Orebro SK
- D3-3Oddevold
- D0-0Norrby IF
Ljungskile SK · Recent form
- D2-2United Nordic
- W2-1Sandviken
- W3-2IFK Varnamo
- W3-2Orebro SK
- D0-0Oddevold
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win United Nordic vs Ljungskile SK?
Golazo's model makes United Nordic the more likely winner at 42%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in United Nordic vs Ljungskile SK?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in United Nordic vs Ljungskile SK?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
More Superettan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.